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VOTING ARCHIVE

RACK 3:

Word	Play	Votes
JOR	at e11a for 29 leaving LLSU	171
JOLLS	at k3d for 32 leaving RU	128
JOLLS	at b11a for 31 leaving UR	68
JO	at f6a for 33 leaving LLRSU	31

And here are simulation results:

First I ran 1-ply, 25,000 iterations:

Word	Play	Score
JOLLS	at b11a	Best
JOR	at e11a	-0.39
JO	at f6a	-0.66
JOLLS	at k3d	-1.04

So very little to choose between the four moves.

However it was then suggested that this result might change with a deeper simulation, with the moves that leave the ULLS combination (JOR and JO) benefitting. These were the results after 6,000 3-ply simulations:

Word	Play	Score
JOR	at e11a	Best
JO	at f6a	-0.01 (!)
JOLLS	at b11a	-1.95
JOLLS	at k3a	-2.57

So it seems that given extra moves to sort out the rack, JOR and JO do turn out to be best. So this time it seems the big hitters (the three 20-vote players) got it wrong, with all three voting for JOLLS at k3d. Maybe there is hope for us all!

Phil Appleby

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