Round Four
Webmaster Chris Dickson brings you the statistical report:
Last time, we made a prediction about your predictions; we predicted
that some of you would correctly predict all eight results in the fifth
round. However, people weren't expecting Vladislav Tkachiev to surprise Alexander Morozevich.
As a result, we have six joint top scorers (Øyvind Pedersen, Alfred Wallace, Eric Theler, peter wimsey, Alexander Davies and Boris Dimitrijeski) in this contest, each with seven correct predictions from the eight matches. Update - After a quiz tie-breaker Alfred Wallace emerged the winner of quiz four!
Interestingly, all six predictions were the same: Anand, Khalifman, Adams, Topalov, Grischuk, Shirov and Bareev all correctly predicted, but Morozevich incorrectly predicted.
As stated by the rules, we will have a Random Trivia Quiz to determine the prizewinner as part of our live online party, so be here from 10am GMT on Sunday for top chess and a top quiz.
There were twenty-eight votes for the fourth round contest, including
one from someone who didn't leave their name (grrrrr) but counting only one vote from someone who cast two duplicates.
There was one score of 2/8 and another of 3/8, but everyone else scored at least 50%, leading to a mean score of 5.36/8; median and modal scores were both 5/8.
Apart from Morozevich's shock exit, the majority of the voting panel correctly predicted the result of every single game. Two particularly good calls were unanimity for Anand to beat Macieja and the successful prediction of an upset - the majority favoured young buck Alexander Grischuk to outplay experienced contender Jaan Ehlvest!
| Voting summary by accuracy |
| Game 1 |
Anand over Macieja |
28/28 |
| Game 8 |
Bareev over Gulko |
25/28 |
| Game 2 |
Khalifman over Leitao |
23/28 |
| Game 3 |
Adams over Svidler |
19/28 |
| Game 7 |
Shirov over Gelfand |
18/28 |
| Game 4 |
Topalov over Dreev |
17/28 |
| Game 6 |
Grischuk over Ehlvest |
16/28 |
| Game 5 |
Tkachiev over Morozevich |
4/28 |
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