Round Three
No tiebreak needed - the round three prediction competition has
produced a single winner once again! The turnout was encouragingly high for a short and sudden deadline on a weekend night.
Kevin Crisler scored a fine 14/16 to put him a nose ahead of a pack of five. Close but not quite on 13/16 were: Martin Sims, Alex Nikouline, Rafael Frisch,
Simon Rubinstein-Salzedo and, ahem, "Chris Dickson's Official Test
Vote".
And as our webmasterly statistician (Chris Dickson) reports: All thirty contestants achieved at least an even score of 8/16, leading to an impressively high mean score of 10.76/16, a median score of 11/16 and a modal score of 11/16.
High averages indeed, but we wouldn't be surprised to see all-correct 8/8 scores achieved in round four - and from round five, the quarter-finals, we'll make the contest harder still by requiring you to pick the final scores!
No unanimously predicted winners this time, but three matches were
predicted by all voters but one and two others by all but two:
| Most frequently correctly predicted results |
| 29/30 |
Game 5 |
Adams over Yermolinsky |
| |
Game 9 |
Morozevich over Vladimirov |
| |
Game 15 |
Bareev over Alexandrov |
| 28/30 |
Game 1 |
Anand over Lputian |
| |
Game 13 |
Shirov over Gurevich |
Further down the scale, it was impressive to see that the majority of
voters (16/30) correctly picked Jaan Ehlvest would buck the odds and
upset the favoured Sergei Movsesian, though a similar majority
incorrectly favoured underdog Loek van Wely to beat fifteenth seed
Alexei Dreev.
| Least frequently correctly predicted results |
| 5/30 |
Game 2 |
Macieja over Beliavsky |
| 11/30 |
Game 3 |
Khalifman over Leko
|
| |
Game 16 |
Gulko over Azmaiparashvili
|
|
|
